Monday, September 8, 2008

False report sends UAL stock on wild ride

Today's UAL Corp. (UAUA-Q) share price incident reveals how easily the stock market can react to so-called "news".


In case, you haven't heard the news, here's The Globe & Mail article on the incident:

False report sends UAL stock on wild ride

STEVE LADURANTAYE
Globe and Mail Update
September 8, 2008 at 3:31 PM EDT

UAL Corp. saw its shares temporarily melt down Monday morning on false rumours that it planned to file for bankruptcy protection.

Shares in the parent of United Airlines were halted on the Nasdaq stock exchange at 11:08 a.m. (ET) after falling 76 per cent. Trade resumed at 12:30 p.m., with the shares down 8.6 per cent from their opening price to $11.25.

Stock quotes had the shares as low as 1 cent in morning trade, but terminals were updated to show an intra-day low of $3.

Morning trades would not be cancelled, the exchange said on its website.

The company said the panic was sparked by an old story from the Chicago Tribune reappearing as current news Monday morning. It was published on Dec. 10, 2002, and detailed the company's $22-million in daily losses and its bid to restructure while under bankruptcy protection.

“Reports that the company filed for bankruptcy are completely untrue and were cause by the irresponsible posting of a six-year-old Chicago Tribune story by the Florida Sun Sentinel newspaper website with the date changed,” the company said in a statement. “The story was related to United's 2002 bankruptcy filing, and United has demanded a retraction from the Sun Sentinel and is launching an investigation.”

The Chicago Tribune distanced itself from the situation Monday afternoon, with a story on its website saying internal tracking records showed that nobody at the paper had touched the original story file since 2003. The Sun-Sentinel and the Tribune are owned by the Tribune Company.

The chain said that the story was picked up early Monday from the Florida newspaper's site by an investment adviser at Miami's Income Securities. He posted the file on Bloomberg, where it would be disseminated to anyone with access to one of the data-company's terminals.

The rumours come at a difficult time for the airline industry, with most major carriers cutting routes and downsizing in a bid to survive higher fuel prices.

UAL reported a $2.7-billion (U.S.) loss in its second quarter, hurt by a $773-million increase in the price of jet fuel. Earlier this year it said it would have to cut 7,000 jobs, ground planes and reduce flights to cope with the higher costs.

Sold POT

I wish I was at home this morning to act on the quick drop in share prices after the market opened. Unfortunately work got in the way so I had to rely on my broker's telephone trading platform to get my quotes and place my sell order. I still fared pretty well compared to the closing price so I'm still somewhat happy.

This is today's chart of POT-T:


Today's Info:
High: $177.40
Low: $160.92
Close: $162.50 (-$9.850, -5.72%)

Thursday, September 4, 2008

Bought some POT today

Well, maybe not that kind of pot...

I'm talking about Potash Corporation of Saskatchewan (POT-T, POT-N).
Hopefully this support level will provide a nice rebound in the share price...

or I might just might need some of that other pot to get me through the day :)


Today's POT-T numbers:
Open $164.02
High $165.70
Low $155.39
Close $160.370 (-$4.16, -2.53%)

Wednesday, September 3, 2008

Long Weekend's Hurricane Miss

What happens when a hurricane expected to cause massive damage to the U.S. Gulf coast over the Labour Day long weekend ends up having little effect on the coast's energy infrastructure?

Tuesday's closing prices of some Horizons BetaPro ETFs:

-17.96% NYMEX Natural Gas Bull Plus ETF - HNU
+18.47% NYMEX Natural Gas Bear Plus ETF - HND

-9.58% NYMEX Crude Oil Bull Plus ETF - HOU
+9.26% NYMEX Crude Oil Bear Plus ETF - HOD

-11.57% S&P/TSX Capped Energy Bull Plus ETF - HEU
+11.48% S&P/TSX Capped Energy Bear Plus ETF - HED

Monday, September 1, 2008

Genius Can't Be Scheduled

With Labour Day here, summer has come to its unofficial end and traders should be coming back into the market which should lead to some interesting times in the weeks ahead. The summer months haven't been too friendly for me in terms of my investments so hopefully things will change very shortly to meet my year-end financial goals. I guess it's time to take a closer look at my charts and spot any new trends that might be emerging.

In the meantime, here's Sunday's Dilbert comic that nicely highlights my thoughts on the ridiculous notion of the 9-to-5 workday regiment employers still insist on despite the amount of downtime in the office.

Monday, August 11, 2008

Wi-Lan's Friday Jump and Today's Announcement

First of all, I'd like to apologize for the lack of posts lately. It's been a pretty busy time around here, with a new job, new friends and new extra-curricular activities. All good stuff! The only downfall is I've had very little time to concentrate on the markets and my net worth has been pretty much stagnant since then.

Nevertheless, I'd thought I'd highlight the interesting increase in Wi-Lan's stock (WIN-T) on Friday and today's great news that WIN settled a pending lawsuit with BlackBerry maker Research In Motion (RIM-T) and that it was sharply raising its forecasts for fiscal 2008.

The 1-year chart:


and the 30-day chart:


The last 3 days price history (close / high / low / volume):

Aug 07 1.62 1.65 1.62 48,933
Aug 08 1.78 1.85 1.62 526,705
Aug 11 2.19 2.43 1.80 1,983,473

Notice the big, 'unusual' jump in price on Friday and the nice run-up after today's announcement.

This serves as just another reminder of the value of following 'irregular' price changes that break technical patterns.